Pre-tourney Rankings
College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#93
Expected Predictive Rating+6.8#78
Pace60.6#323
Improvement+0.4#155

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#141
First Shot+1.3#136
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#185
Layup/Dunks-1.1#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#227
Freethrows+3.6#13
Improvement+1.6#90

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#76
First Shot+3.7#71
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#177
Layups/Dunks+0.5#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#42
Freethrows+1.5#81
Improvement-1.3#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 297   The Citadel W 81-68 92%     1 - 0 +1.8 -10.9 +11.2
  Nov 14, 2016 201   @ Coastal Carolina W 71-64 67%     2 - 0 +7.3 +7.0 +1.1
  Nov 17, 2016 96   Boise St. W 60-47 60%     3 - 0 +15.2 -2.6 +20.1
  Nov 18, 2016 68   Central Florida L 40-60 48%     3 - 1 -14.6 -18.9 +0.8
  Nov 20, 2016 29   Wake Forest L 61-78 30%     3 - 2 -6.6 -4.2 -4.6
  Nov 23, 2016 2   @ Villanova L 47-63 4%     3 - 3 +8.7 -5.9 +11.6
  Nov 27, 2016 238   South Carolina Upstate W 72-60 87%     4 - 3 +4.7 +0.2 +5.7
  Dec 01, 2016 210   Navy W 70-64 83%     5 - 3 +0.5 +0.1 +0.7
  Dec 04, 2016 87   Davidson W 76-61 57%     6 - 3 +18.1 +12.3 +7.2
  Dec 15, 2016 159   @ East Carolina W 53-35 57%     7 - 3 +21.0 -8.8 +31.4
  Dec 19, 2016 173   @ LSU L 65-75 60%     7 - 4 -7.7 -12.3 +4.9
  Dec 22, 2016 317   @ Western Carolina W 77-59 88%     8 - 4 +10.2 +15.8 -3.1
  Dec 31, 2016 141   @ Elon W 66-54 54%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +15.8 +6.0 +11.4
  Jan 02, 2017 281   @ Delaware W 65-56 82%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +3.9 +3.3 +2.5
  Jan 05, 2017 119   Towson W 62-57 68%     11 - 4 3 - 0 +5.1 +0.3 +5.7
  Jan 07, 2017 187   Hofstra W 77-71 79%     12 - 4 4 - 0 +2.4 +13.3 -9.6
  Jan 12, 2017 218   @ James Madison W 53-51 72%     13 - 4 5 - 0 +1.0 -7.0 +8.4
  Jan 14, 2017 142   William & Mary W 77-67 72%     14 - 4 6 - 0 +8.7 -4.3 +12.7
  Jan 19, 2017 67   UNC Wilmington L 59-65 48%     14 - 5 6 - 1 -0.5 -19.2 +19.0
  Jan 21, 2017 218   James Madison W 73-60 85%     15 - 5 7 - 1 +6.9 +9.4 -0.7
  Jan 26, 2017 119   @ Towson L 77-83 OT 49%     15 - 6 7 - 2 -0.8 +2.7 -3.2
  Jan 28, 2017 258   @ Drexel W 90-76 77%     16 - 6 8 - 2 +10.9 +18.1 -6.6
  Feb 02, 2017 67   @ UNC Wilmington W 67-66 29%     17 - 6 9 - 2 +11.5 +0.5 +11.2
  Feb 04, 2017 141   Elon W 71-58 72%     18 - 6 10 - 2 +11.7 +1.1 +10.9
  Feb 09, 2017 168   Northeastern L 72-73 76%     18 - 7 10 - 3 -3.6 +2.6 -6.3
  Feb 11, 2017 142   @ William & Mary L 79-89 54%     18 - 8 10 - 4 -6.3 +10.2 -17.5
  Feb 16, 2017 187   @ Hofstra W 76-72 63%     19 - 8 11 - 4 +5.5 +8.5 -2.5
  Feb 18, 2017 168   @ Northeastern W 85-71 59%     20 - 8 12 - 4 +16.5 +28.1 -9.0
  Feb 23, 2017 281   Delaware W 78-65 91%     21 - 8 13 - 4 +2.9 +4.9 -1.4
  Feb 25, 2017 258   Drexel W 80-67 88%     22 - 8 14 - 4 +4.9 +7.7 -1.9
  Mar 04, 2017 218   James Madison W 67-62 79%     23 - 8 +1.4 +4.6 -2.4
  Mar 05, 2017 119   Towson W 67-59 59%     24 - 8 +10.6 +8.3 +3.8
  Mar 06, 2017 67   UNC Wilmington L 69-78 38%     24 - 9 -1.0 +1.6 -3.4
Projected Record 24.0 - 9.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.2% 0.2% 11.8 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.2%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 11.8 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.2%